The Arbitrage Credit Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ARCFX Fund  USD 9.88  0.01  0.10%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0128, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, the Arbitrage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding the Arbitrage is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Arbitrage Credit are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, The Arbitrage is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date26th of September 2025
Expense Ratio1.2700
  

The Arbitrage Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  977.00  in The Arbitrage Credit on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  11.00  from holding The Arbitrage Credit or generate 1.13% return on investment over 90 days. The Arbitrage Credit is currently producing 0.019% returns and takes up 0.0955% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than The, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Arbitrage is expected to generate 7.24 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 7.93 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

The Arbitrage Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
9.88
Please note that The Arbitrage's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Arbitrage Credit has a current Real Value of $9.08 per share. The regular price of the fund is $9.88. We determine the value of Arbitrage Credit from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since The Arbitrage is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of The Mutual Fund. However, The Arbitrage's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.88 Real  9.08 Hype  9.88
The intrinsic value of The Arbitrage's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence The Arbitrage's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.08
Real Value
10.87
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Arbitrage Credit helps investors to forecast how The mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of The Arbitrage more accurately as focusing exclusively on The Arbitrage's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.789.889.98
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for The Arbitrage Credit extending back to October 01, 2012. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of The Arbitrage stands at 9.88, as last reported on the 18th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 9.88 and the lowest price hitting 9.88 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

The Arbitrage Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of The Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.88 90 days 9.88 
about 8.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of The Arbitrage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.48 (This The Arbitrage Credit probability density function shows the probability of The Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Arbitrage has a beta of 0.0128. This suggests as returns on the market go up, The Arbitrage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Arbitrage Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Arbitrage Credit has an alpha of 0.0049, implying that it can generate a 0.004905 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   The Arbitrage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for The Arbitrage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arbitrage Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.789.889.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.989.0810.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as The Arbitrage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against The Arbitrage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, The Arbitrage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arbitrage Credit.

The Arbitrage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. The Arbitrage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the The Arbitrage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Arbitrage Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of The Arbitrage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.41

The Arbitrage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of The Arbitrage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arbitrage Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 11.57% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

The Arbitrage Fundamentals Growth

The Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of The Arbitrage, and The Arbitrage fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on The Mutual Fund performance.

About The Arbitrage Performance

Evaluating The Arbitrage's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if The Arbitrage has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if The Arbitrage has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in a portfolio of debt securities including corporate bonds and debentures , bank loans, convertible and preferred securities, credit default swaps and other debt instruments and derivatives that the funds investment adviser believes have debt-like characteristics. It invests in both U.S. and foreign debt securities. The principal types of derivatives in which the fund may invest are credit default swaps, interest rate swaps, total return swaps, futures and options.

Things to note about Arbitrage Credit performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about The Arbitrage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Arbitrage Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 11.57% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating The Arbitrage's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate The Arbitrage's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing The Arbitrage's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether The Arbitrage's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining The Arbitrage's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating The Arbitrage's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of The Arbitrage's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of The Arbitrage's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into The Arbitrage's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating The Arbitrage's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact The Arbitrage's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Arbitrage financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Arbitrage security.
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